Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 10.555344 11.808368 13.186538 14.821007 16.714479 18.848440 21.448707
2025-11-09 8.680545 10.281382 12.172985 14.594636 17.643598 21.396874 26.432352
2025-11-16 7.598953 9.347963 11.516702 14.443417 18.351876 23.482421 30.882268
2025-11-23 6.735786 8.530583 10.840702 14.090479 18.640805 24.937486 34.590135
2025-11-30 6.159096 7.997858 10.442375 14.009300 19.219775 26.784990 39.060028
2025-12-07 5.537173 7.333817 9.784567 13.467443 19.036582 27.451487 41.777400
2025-12-14 4.975146 6.698639 9.100691 12.801269 18.564961 27.579779 43.590552
2025-12-21 4.605993 6.302416 8.717367 12.531010 18.649907 28.562771 46.956818
2025-12-28 4.677531 6.541441 9.272402 13.734364 21.195976 33.900495 59.012788
2026-01-04 4.509415 6.409590 9.254423 14.023773 22.256759 36.828836 67.119242
2026-01-11 4.209111 6.055320 8.864195 13.665412 22.155740 37.638059 71.111938
2026-01-18 4.094179 5.977133 8.898859 14.013762 23.334572 40.982014 81.109693
2026-01-25 3.865333 5.713623 8.629937 13.841001 23.587117 42.657549 88.015211
2026-02-01 3.647233 5.453980 8.349649 13.624539 23.736646 44.159267 94.913674
2026-02-08 3.464245 5.238698 8.126126 13.486162 24.015001 45.961574 102.988348
2026-02-15 3.264508 4.983526 7.816932 13.161900 23.883219 46.852045 108.925238
2026-02-22 3.123884 4.818099 7.650040 13.087303 24.249201 48.905725 118.576149
2026-03-01 2.925499 4.544452 7.277154 12.589135 23.673484 48.698833 121.724546
2026-03-08 2.723617 4.255142 6.860641 11.976125 22.792861 47.653189 122.151150
2026-03-15 2.591889 4.080010 6.638054 11.727255 22.680337 48.464204 128.571574
2026-03-22 2.666594 4.266128 7.077791 12.834583 25.714207 57.691187 165.534111
2026-03-29 2.616862 4.229542 7.104712 13.100603 26.855532 62.220445 188.260496
2026-04-05 2.491714 4.051816 6.856828 12.771187 26.546025 62.725560 196.161003